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Party supports move

The popularity gap between opposition party Fidesz and the governing Socialists (MSzP) dwindled in June by some 6-9%, clearly beyond the margin of error, pollsters agree.


The June figures broke a several-month trend of Fidesz gradually increasing support and MSzP losing its popularity. According to pollster Szonda Ipsos, Fidesz lost some 6% support amongst eligible voters (approximately 500,000 people), and 8% amongst those with party preferences. Figures of pollsters Medián, Századvég-Foresense and Tárki all report similar tendencies, although with slightly different figures.
Tárki said the change in tendencies is purely technical: the government has moved on from the rock bottom of the government-crisis in April-May, while Fidesz has passed its peak, resulting from its overwhelming victory in the March referendum.
Others say the correction has other roots, too. Suggestions about what to expect from a Fidesz government made by party leader Viktor Orbán, and leaked  from a closed session with university students, made a splash not only in the left-leaning local media, but also dismayed many Fidesz-supporters, pollsters Szonda-Ipsos and Medián concluded. This explanation is reinforced by the drop in Orbán’s personal popularity, Medián-CEO Endre Hann told left-wing Hungarian daily Népszava.



Small parties


The Fidesz-allied Christian Democrats (KDNP) have also lost support according to Tárki. While the small party’s support is usually around 1%, in June it was below the measurable range.
The Alliance of Free Democrats (SzDSz) managed to move up from its all-time-low of 1% support, held throughout this spring. Having left government and ousted its hugely unpopular chairman János Kóka, SzDSz’s popularity hiked to 3%.
The center-right Hungarian Democratic Forum (MDF) was unchanged on 3% support.



02.07.2008




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